
Well, here goes nothing...my picks in bold.
BEST PICTURE
'Atonement'
'Juno'
'Michael Clayton'
'No Country for Old Men'
'There Will Be Blood'
For the most part, a two-horse race...rather than flip a coin, I'm thinking that the Academy will award the Coen brothers in the directing category, but honor Anderson's masterpiece with the evening's Big Prize.
BEST ACTOR
George Clooney, 'Michael Clayton'
Daniel Day-Lewis, 'There Will Be Blood'
Johnny Depp, 'Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street'
Tommy Lee Jones, 'In the Valley of Elah'
Viggo Mortensen, 'Eastern Promises'
I don't know what else to say about this category. It'd be just awesome if JD shocked the world here...but looking outside, I see no flying monkeys. Clooney probably with the best chance to derail the seemingly-unstoppable Day-Lewis locomotive.
BEST ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett, 'Elizabeth: The Golden Age'
Julie Christie, 'Away From Her'
Marion Cotillard, 'La Vie en Rose'
Laura Linney, 'The Savages'
Ellen Page, 'Juno'
In my Golden Globes predictions, I said that Ellen Page would win the Oscar...umm, I need to retract that statement. Christie as clear a frontrunner in her category as Day-Lewis is in his. Fellow GG winner Cotillard admirable competition...but let's face it, the Academy adores Julie.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Casey Affleck, 'The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford'
Javier Bardem, 'No Country for Old Men'
Philip Seymour Hoffman, 'Charlie Wilson's War'
Hal Holbrook, 'Into the Wild'
Tom Wilkinson, 'Michael Clayton'
I was so tempted to fly in the face of popular convention and choose 82-year-old Holbrook here, predicting that the Academy would honor his entire body of work with a 2008 Oscar. But in the end, Bardem's brilliantly-brutal performance frightened me into this selection.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett, 'I'm Not There'
Ruby Dee, 'American Gangster'
Saoirse Ronan, 'Atonement'
Amy Ryan, 'Gone Baby Gone'
Tilda Swinton, 'Michael Clayton'
The most wide-open of all the major categories, I wouldn't be surprised to see anyone other than Ronan win the Award. For all intents and purposes, this is most likely Ruby's last nomination, and the Academy may elect to honor her here (perhaps like Holbrook for Supporting Actor)...Ossie would be so proud. And whether it matters or not, Ms. Dee is the only minority actor nominated this year.
BEST DIRECTOR
Paul Thomas Anderson, 'There Will Be Blood'
Joel & Ethan Coen, 'No Country for Old Men'
Tony Gilroy, 'Michael Clayton'
Jason Reitman, 'Juno'
Julian Schnabel, 'The Diving Bell and the Butterfly'
Like the Best Picture category, two contenders to do battle for this award. What a score for either Anderson or the Coens if one of them sweeps both Oscars!
There it be...I'll be content with 4 out of 6. We shall see in about 30 hours or so.
Ciao4Now.
EDIT (2.25): Yeesh...a little off-the-mark this year. Although not necessarily an upset, Cotillard's triumph took me by surprise. 3 of 6...pretty lousy.